No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Polymarket Trader
eric1645
0x61ab538874aa79874c5932a2435bedda21bd78b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $56.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.06
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No 95.9% 27 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.2% 39 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.2% 25 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.5% 17 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.2% 43 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 1.3% 37.94 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 66 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.8% 76 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.7% 76 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.1% 67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 97.1% 74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 97.2% 74 shares