Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
0x61b9...c617
0x61b9e954877801cb69951b0816dd252a2974c617
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $407.9
- Realized PnL
- -$918.73
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620.12
- Potential profit
- $620.12
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $112.61
- Potential payout
- $459.65
- Potential profit
- $347.03
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $62.61
Yes position
Kash Patel out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.69
- Potential profit
- $374.69
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $310.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.98
- Potential profit
- $292.98
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $279.85
- Potential payout
- $279.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $269.86
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.3
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.56
- Potential profit
- $79.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $69.9
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.76
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.34
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?Yes 10% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.9% 459.65 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 279.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes 6.3% 79.56 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Kash Patel out by March 31?Yes 2.7% 374.69 shares
- Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes 11% 45.45 shares