Polymarket Trader

for-the-lulz

0x61e2a4cbabc8b3da3f8bb60b0b8cf3095e644958

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.89
Realized PnL: -$283.2
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.23K
Potential profit: $55.23K
User PnL: -$259.71

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.37K
Potential profit: $54.37K
User PnL: -$126.41

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.03K
Potential profit: $40.03K
User PnL: -$450.7

Yes position

Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27K
Potential profit: $27K
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $24K
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.5K
User PnL: -$104.99

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.69K
Potential profit: $18.69K
User PnL: -$18.69

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33K
Potential profit: $15.33K
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $107.14
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.18K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $11.6K
User PnL: -$46.41

No position

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.42K
Potential profit: $11.42K
User PnL: -$349.99

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91K
Potential profit: $10.91K
User PnL: -$719.99

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.55K
Potential profit: $10.55K
User PnL: -$31.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.84K
Potential profit: $8.84K
User PnL: -$69.99

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.18K
Potential profit: $8.18K
User PnL: -$184.28

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $6.82K
User PnL: -$249.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.58K
User PnL: -$60.07

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$263.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

No 0.2% 9,000 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 600 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 545.45 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 2.8% 535.71 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.5% 2,400 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 0.1% 18,690 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 0.1% 27,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 80% 62.5 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 15.8% 550.88 shares
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?

Yes 6% 1,000 shares