N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065
0x61f2fb3bae210403381409e565d784d97818e77a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $211.02
- Realized PnL
- $118.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $19.86
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $15.16
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $14.62
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$11.48
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.36
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $14.05
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $13.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.1%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.4%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 2.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.91x
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.08
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 77% 9.7 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87% 10 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 50% 10 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?No 80% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 20% 10 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 84.5% 10 shares
- Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?No 33% 5 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No 14% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 29.9% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 76.8% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 30% 10 shares