Polymarket Trader

dmwarner

0x62073399487c141ef1930ff65f8c0f264bd65259

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.7K
Realized PnL: -$1.22K
Win rate: 21.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.11K
Potential profit: $411.11K
User PnL: -$499.91

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $8.57K
Potential payout: $380.96K
Potential profit: $372.39K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $148.88K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.67K
Potential profit: $78.67K
User PnL: -$259.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.68K
Potential profit: $76.68K
User PnL: -$119.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.99K
Potential profit: $41.99K
User PnL: -$92.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.31K
Potential profit: $32.31K
User PnL: -$295.31

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87K
Potential profit: $15.87K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.82K
Potential profit: $14.82K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.34K
Potential profit: $14.34K
User PnL: -$219.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.61K
Potential profit: $13.61K
User PnL: -$72.99

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.85K
Potential profit: $12.85K
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.32K
Potential profit: $10.32K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.34K
Potential profit: $9.34K
User PnL: -$119.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $8.95K
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.48K
Potential profit: $8.48K
User PnL: -$139.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.22K
Potential profit: $7.22K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $6.13K
User PnL: -$77.53

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $5.19K
User PnL: -$19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $424.37

Yes position

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$71.43

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$174.31

Yes position

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.53

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$366.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$375.77

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$387.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 150,000 shares
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Yes 10.6% 463.77 shares
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 71,428.57 shares
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 87,182.25 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4% 121,791.01 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.7% 11,161.24 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.6% 26,000 shares
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 71,428.57 shares
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 87,182.25 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.2% 12,634.26 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5% 20,000 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 7.2% 11,161.25 shares