Yes position
Will Melanie Moreno win Love Island USA Season 8?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $138.47
- Potential profit
- $135.84
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Polymarket Trader
Flagwaver21
0x620d60efc565ded66cde01cb3025f05bf662c464
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.56
- Realized PnL
- $49.62
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Parmida Keshani be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $104.79
- Potential profit
- $103.17
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
N
No position
Will Caleb McDaniel be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $79.75
- Potential profit
- $78.12
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$13.37
Y
Yes position
Will Dylan Wrona be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $73.5
- Potential profit
- $71.33
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $53.06
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Corbin Mims be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $16.83
- Potential payout
- $45.37
- Potential profit
- $28.54
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $11.83
N
No position
Will Jen Terry be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $22.72
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $27.99
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.33
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
Yes position
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Melanie Moreno win Love Island USA Season 8?Yes 3.6% 138.47 shares
- Will Jen Terry be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?No 13% 38.46 shares
- Will Corbin Mims be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 11% 45.37 shares
- Will Dylan Wrona be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 6.8% 73.5 shares
- Will Parmida Keshani be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 4.8% 104.79 shares
- Will Caleb McDaniel be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?No 18.8% 79.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 26.31 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 26.32 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?Yes 99.8% 123.58 shares