Yes position
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.93K
- Potential payout
- $8.93K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.93K
Polymarket Trader
Jagernaut
0x620ddc3f211467f921ee25fa38cbb64d4e62f8db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.63K
- Realized PnL
- $403.93
- Win rate
- 73.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $417.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $209.89
- Potential payout
- $238.51
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $75.79
- Potential payout
- $147.16
- Potential profit
- $71.37
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.75
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.98
No position
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.42
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.18
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.29
No position
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.82
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Base airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
MetaMask airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.54
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$45.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$127
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes 56% 8,928.57 shares
- Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes 5.7% 73.62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 68% 781.25 shares
- Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes 67.9% 73.62 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No 48% 625 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 64% 781.25 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 98.1% 506.32 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?No 95% 148.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?No 71.1% 70.29 shares
- Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 97.9% 114.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown 3% 66.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown 6% 83.27 shares