Polymarket Trader

SovereignDoubt

0x6214ac149284a29d5fbb6a960a696cec550c990a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.53
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $71.36
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $52.86
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $51.63
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.94
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $38.17
Potential profit: $33.26
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $22.88
Potential profit: $18.22
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $12.02
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $15.02
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $7.19
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $8.17
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.3% 15.02 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.1% 38.17 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 6.8% 73.53 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.6% 58.14 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 28.5% 17.54 shares
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 18.6% 10.75 shares
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Yes 37% 13.51 shares