Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $170.4
- Potential payout
- $211.68
- Potential profit
- $41.28
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Polymarket Trader
0x6220...85a2
0x6220d3e3c8782875ab6d2373e39ebb8fdbb785a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $173.38
- Realized PnL
- -$35.97
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $35.28
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.94
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 56% 45.45 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 25% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 44% 45.45 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 86% 131.41 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 80.27 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 9.8% 101.35 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 26% 38.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.5% 111.11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 1.8% 111.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 100.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 113.8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 38.71 shares