Polymarket Trader

SpecFreak

0x62274d1807e31fbef84bf9c23daa0739d0fed23c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.9
Realized PnL: $33.06
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $335.03
Potential profit: $330.51
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $105.11
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $69.8
Potential profit: $65.44
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $18.24
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$15.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $47.66
Potential profit: $44.83
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $39.19
Potential profit: $25.73
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.36
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $26.18
Potential profit: $21.64
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.04
User PnL: -$9.89

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $14.17
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.2

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Luiz Henrique be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$3.85

No position

Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.15

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

22% 44.41 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.1% 26.18 shares
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 21.02 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.3% 20 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.8% 179.14 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

58% 17.25 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 46.55 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.1% 11.93 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.6% 22.78 shares