Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $545.45
- Potential profit
- $544.64
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Polymarket Trader
0x622A24068d51ACDb56db367BdEeCc0e567808BEA-1776913488439
0x622a24068d51acdb56db367bdeecc0e567808bea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.22
- Realized PnL
- -$1.38
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $372.88
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $330
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $224.65
- Potential profit
- $224.09
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.77
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.05
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $90.2
- Potential profit
- $89.97
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.54
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $69.77
- Potential profit
- $65.9
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 10.2% 9.8 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 10.2% 9.8 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Yes 1.8% 56.71 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares