Polymarket Trader

Slackjaw

@Slackjaw8297

0x62365f754d4aa7dc537f997f23bb5dd9a9e36881

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $342.79
Realized PnL: $5.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

New York Yankees position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $63.96
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $40.04
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $79.98
Potential profit: $72.38
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $50.96
Potential payout: $64.09
Potential profit: $13.14
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.27
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$17.07

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$12.8

Yes position

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.7
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$10.3

Yes position

Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $23.6
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$7.28

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $48.48
Potential profit: $40.97
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$23.52

Yes position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $46.12
Potential profit: $45.57
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$21.36

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $44.55
Potential profit: $44.19
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$34.59

Yes position

Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.2
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.58
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$12.78

No position

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21.4
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $24.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $23.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.38
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.2
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$9.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Suns position

Spurs vs. Suns

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.4

Hawks position

Lakers vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Mavericks position

Heat vs. Mavericks

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.89

Nets position

Hornets vs. Nets

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.8

West Virginia position

West Virginia vs. Houston

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.4

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles position

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Valparaiso Beacons

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.99

Nets position

Nets vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.5

Blackhawks position

Stars vs. Blackhawks

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Packers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.6

Magic position

Warriors vs. Magic

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236

Ohio position

UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.5

Wizards position

Hawks vs. Wizards

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.6

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Grizzlies

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.6

Cameron Norrie position

BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.7

Virginia Tech Hokies position

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.7

Papamichail position

Antalya: Iryna Shymanovich vs Despina Papamichail

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.35

Anisimova position

WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimova

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.8

Louisville position

Spread: Miami (-13.5)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.1

Under position

Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.1

Under position

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.1

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.7

NC State position

Georgia Tech vs. NC State

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201

Blackhawks position

Blackhawks vs. Kings

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Kennesaw State position

Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 19.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 17?

No 99% 20 shares
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?

Yes 85.1% 20 shares
Tuyo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 85% 9 shares