Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.01K
- Potential profit
- $9.01K
- User PnL
- -$100.07
Polymarket Trader
Schatzmat84
0x623adb451a21a05f7b318c4ba6afd8fbb5385e86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.63K
- Realized PnL
- $1.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.23K
- Potential payout
- $8.99K
- Potential profit
- $764.56
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $958.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$27.49
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $99.94
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $108.06
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $103.08
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $51.93
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $99.33
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $54.67
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $98.47
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $19.53
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- -$20.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.44
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.4
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3AM ET
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.95
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.82
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
Yes position
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5AM ET
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5AM ET
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
Yes position
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Will Eduardo Pimentel win the 2024 Curitiba mayoral election?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48.1% 208 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 65% 155 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 154 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 83% 118 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.4% 356.55 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 79.8% 125 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 57% 93.35 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 231.2 shares
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.8% 76.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 1,010 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 59.7% 114.93 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 59% 114.93 shares