Polymarket Trader

Npf1

0x623f75fcdd091362468921a39b391ab7582f1852

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $415.14
Realized PnL: $1.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.54K
Potential profit: $7.54K
User PnL: -$168.35

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4900 on August 14 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.3
Potential profit: $780.3
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.56
Potential profit: $451.56
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $239.25
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $90.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Will "Pretty Woman" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $268
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Proposal" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $175.31
Potential profit: $155.15
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$9.89

No position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $155.73
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber feature Bad Bunny during his Coachella performances?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.05
Potential profit: $149.05
User PnL: -$41.74

Yes position

Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.94
Potential profit: $144.94
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$2.43

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.7
Potential profit: $121.7
User PnL: -$69.47

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.15
Potential profit: $104.15
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $100.02
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.16
Potential profit: $98.16
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.91
Potential profit: $96.91
User PnL: -$2.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.53

No position

Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.25

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71

No position

India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.03

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

Yes position

Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.62

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.74

Yes position

Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.76

No position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Sinner position

Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Yes position

Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

No position

Will the next Pope be from Africa?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.93

Yes position

Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Yes 94% 10.64 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

No 54% 18.52 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 16 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 84% 65 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Over 75% 13.33 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 87.3% 11 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 24 shares