Polymarket Trader

Nikitka1

0x6247642e35a48b94511ddb5b15291d54d7b3ddda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.95
Realized PnL: $673.72
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $29.06
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$53.19

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $584.09
Potential profit: $584.09
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $399.79
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$33.12

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.98
Potential profit: $174.98
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $24.36
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $132.78
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$75.64

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $81.3
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$14.35

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.49
Potential profit: $42.49
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.23
Potential profit: $41.23
User PnL: -$9.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.58

Yes position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $111.57

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.52

No position

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.92

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.19

No position

Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $22.55

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $14.62

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.74

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 6.7% 177.84 shares
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 40% 685.12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 16% 406.25 shares
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 44% 119.82 shares
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 4.7% 683.54 shares
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Yes 16.5% 194.56 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

No 23.3% 41.23 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

No 23.5% 42.49 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

No 17.5% 57.19 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

No 14% 71.43 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

No 12% 83.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

No 12.7% 78.7 shares