Polymarket Trader

0x624A0eC2269558FB93Da300181f93d480Ab74198-1777225113148

0x624a0ec2269558fb93da300181f93d480ab74198

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.24
Realized PnL: $54.93
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.69
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$4.02

Over position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $18.98
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $16.49
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $0.56

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $19.64
Potential profit: $14.63
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $14.63
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $13.61
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $18.4
User PnL: -$3.68

Over position

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $11.91
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $16.73
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $10.66
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.57
Potential profit: $14.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.3%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.64
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Speed say "Save" 5+ times on stream?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Over position

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $12.33
User PnL: -$3.7

No position

Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.24
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.8
Potential profit: $11.8
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.18
Potential profit: $11.18
User PnL: -$3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

Yes position

Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Fake do Biru position

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.02

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Over position

EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

SK Gaming position

LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Sumit Nagal position

Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Yes 28% 12 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Yes 28% 14 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 21.05 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 30% 5 shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotland

Scotland 31% 9.68 shares
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu

Sumit Nagal 38% 7.89 shares
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 25% 12 shares
Will Speed say "Save" 5+ times on stream?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 28% 19.64 shares
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Over 24% 25 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Over 34% 17.65 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?

Yes 41.7% 14.39 shares