Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $74.44
- Potential payout
- $74.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.23
Polymarket Trader
Memelland
0x6250882868116d6c42de60d13255f0437f99f0d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.09
- Realized PnL
- $52.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.28
- Potential profit
- $15.28
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Germany confidence vote in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Panthers position
Giants vs. Panthers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Elon out of Trump administration before July?No 59% 9.15 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 97% 74.44 shares
- Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes 72% 15.28 shares
- Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes 97% 11.34 shares
- Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No 61% 3.28 shares
- Will Trudeau resign Today?No 81% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?No 54% 3.7 shares