b3eakheart

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $10.72K
Potential profit: $10.71K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.99
Potential profit: $985.99
User PnL: -$6.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $394.47
Potential profit: $393.88
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $120.86
Potential payout: $152.03
Potential profit: $31.17
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $20.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $23.17
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.08
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $43.72
Potential profit: $22.73
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $25.83
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $15.83
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.92
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $25.45
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $29.49
Potential profit: $26.98
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $27.89
Potential profit: $25.52
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $27.58
Potential profit: $23.3
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.21
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $5.6
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $29.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?