Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $70.69
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.17K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $12.37
Polymarket Trader
Edje25
0x6268011cdc123d7ab44cabdef70b7a571f286031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $339.35
- Realized PnL
- $4.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $154.8
- Potential payout
- $859.99
- Potential profit
- $705.2
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $25.85
Yes position
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $392.31
- Potential profit
- $382.7
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $274.03
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $204.46
- Potential profit
- $200.88
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $198.21
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $12.21
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $180.1
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $148.32
- Potential profit
- $128.08
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $24.41
- Potential payout
- $124.22
- Potential profit
- $99.81
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $98.16
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $99.01
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.75
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $96.2
- Potential profit
- $94.85
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $94.06
- Potential profit
- $92.79
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $18.04
- Potential payout
- $87.98
- Potential profit
- $69.94
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $53.13
- Potential profit
- $50.26
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $48.76
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.03
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 6% or more?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.53
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.66
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $491.49
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $271.08
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.63
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.79
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.41
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.71
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $121.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.83
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.93
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.54
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.45
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.41
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.81
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.55
Yes position
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.6
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.58
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Evo Morales arrested by June 30?Yes 14% 6.42 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 7% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 18% 124.99 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?Yes 3.4% 450 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20.2% 17.18 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 23% 32.82 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 14.2% 47.39 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 12.8% 75 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.1% 15 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 1.3% 63 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,436.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 200 shares