Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $51.15
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Polymarket Trader
FlameTavern
0x6274eb78e03d8ddf48321af46dde9df9e26881b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.15
- Realized PnL
- $39.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.38
Yes position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "Prediction" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 57.47 shares
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over 65% 83.95 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99% 54.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.2% 54.23 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No 99.9% 29.67 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No 97.7% 29.67 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 98.7% 28.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 31.47 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 31.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 29.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 29.82 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 30.27 shares