0x62829a9718aaffbA69a9Db91d4A56aD0a622AaAB-1780064963998

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.23
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.81
Potential profit: $89.81
User PnL: -$18.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.06
Potential profit: $89.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $74.35
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $67.39
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.08
Potential profit: $85.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.15
Potential profit: $83.15
User PnL: -$16.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.31
Potential profit: $82.31
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $81.02
Potential profit: $80.66
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$19.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $21.46
Potential payout: $75.33
Potential profit: $53.87
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $20.74
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $53.33
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $33.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $13.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $22.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $44.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.86
Potential profit: $64.86
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.84
Potential profit: $64.84
User PnL: -$19.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $18.38
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $46.14
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $45.16
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.27
Potential profit: $64.27
User PnL: -$19.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.61
Potential profit: $63.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.09
Potential profit: $63.09
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $19.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $42.81
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.28
Potential profit: $61.28
User PnL: -$17.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $51.21
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$10.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $19.41
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $39.41
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $20.17
Potential payout: $57.61
Potential profit: $37.45
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $28.39
Potential payout: $57.36
Potential profit: $28.97
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $9.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $26.57
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $30.57
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $43.71
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $17.43
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $39.71
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $20.86
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $36.29
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $24.42
Potential payout: $56.15
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $5.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $60.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $41.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13?