Polymarket Trader

0x628a9aC7D5c6E85c1777AdF34287a6A719436d8F-1774575063174

0x628a9ac7d5c6e85c1777adf34287a6a719436d8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $808.45
Realized PnL: $2.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $159.62
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.39K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$20.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $166.24
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$33.25

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $221.37
Potential payout: $231.8
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $98.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $26.24
Potential payout: $223.29
Potential profit: $197.05
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $99.42
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $16.86
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $78.31
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.21

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $24.77
Potential payout: $58.29
Potential profit: $33.51
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $25.81
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $19.8
Potential profit: $16.93
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.13

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $19.35
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $17.88
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $13.9
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $13.32
Potential profit: $8.33
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $12.85
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jack Draper position

BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.73

Daniil Medvedev position

BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.08

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.07

No position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.31

Tamara Zidansek position

Antalya 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Tamara Zidansek

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.53

Yes position

Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

Maple Leafs position

Spread: Wild (-1.5)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.05

No position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.62

Lanlana Tararudee position

Austin: Caty McNally vs Lanlana Tararudee

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.77

Katarzyna Kawa position

Antalya 3: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Katarzyna Kawa

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.9

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.59

Filippo Romano position

Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Filippo Romano

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.53

Andrej Martin position

Kigali 2: Andrej Martin vs Jay Clarke

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.38

Remy Bertola position

Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertola

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.24

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.37

Lanlana Tararudee position

Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharova

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.53

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.77

Petr Nesterov position

Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Petr Nesterov

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

Pavel Kotov position

Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.44

Pavel Kotov position

Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotov

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.35

Alexander Zverev position

BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.02

Thiago Monteiro position

Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteiro

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.88

Alina Charaeva position

Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Elina Avanesyan

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

No 42% 58.29 shares
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert

Tommy Paul 99.8% 64.88 shares
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert

Tommy Paul 99.9% 15.8 shares
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert

Tommy Paul 82% 15.8 shares
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert

Tommy Paul 76% 64.88 shares
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo 99% 71.02 shares
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo 90% 71.02 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 17.1% 2.21 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 4% 44.82 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 48.98 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 95.81 shares