Fniii

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $328.02
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $297.75
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $64.09
Potential payout: $233.05
Potential profit: $168.96
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.72
Potential payout: $157.77
Potential profit: $138.05
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.53
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.63
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $42.43
Potential payout: $143.82
Potential profit: $101.39
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $122.2
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $107.38
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.62
Potential profit: $92.62
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $78.67
Multiplier: 9.43x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $85.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $76.48
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Uruguay score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $67.2
Potential profit: $67.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $60.22
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $57.97
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.88
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.99
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $58.64
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $58.26
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.85
Potential profit: $58.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $55.13
Potential profit: $33.63
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$15.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.97

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.76

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.73

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

Yes position

Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.03

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $108K August 25–31?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.7

Yes position

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.9

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.39

Yes position

Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

No position

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09

No position

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?