Polymarket Trader

Gerry66666

0x62a0e9f83d70318fb19d75ce03f23a4ce8ed54a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $312
Realized PnL: $177.4
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $5.34K
User PnL: -$59.19

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $312
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $488
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$171

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.79
Potential profit: $197.79
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$45.72

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.67
Potential profit: $140.67
User PnL: -$22.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.5

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.59

No position

Fed rate cut by June meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.24

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.84

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.75

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.46

Down position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.96

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.2

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$108

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$180.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?

Down 52% 80 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 16.4% 115.99 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 17% 399.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?

Up 70.4% 280.9 shares
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Down 21% 116.32 shares
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Down 75.8% 80 shares
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Down 58% 98.32 shares
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Down 50% 98 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 23% 294.23 shares
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Yes 27.3% 23.32 shares
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Yes 14.6% 66 shares
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Yes 26.4% 100 shares