bndrn

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.83
Potential profit: $243.83
User PnL: -$2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $14.37
Potential payout: $73.68
Potential profit: $59.32
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $43.06
Potential profit: $41.27
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.64
Potential profit: $37.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $27.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $9.41
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $15.46
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $12.02
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $10.47
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

WW Team position

Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs WW Team (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?