Polymarket Trader

0x62b1...fe7c

0x62b1703d496e187e54c2dac61f61d58a9834fe7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $23.47
Realized PnL: $0.96
Win rate: 26.1%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $172.52
Potential profit: $169.16
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $110.64
Potential profit: $106.15
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.94
Potential profit: $86.94
User PnL: -$2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $32.86
Potential profit: $26.29
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $4.57

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $1.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Los Angeles Dodgers position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.02

Under position

Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.7

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.05

Los Angeles Dodgers position

1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.18

Under position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Under position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Under position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 4.5% 110.64 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

No 2.3% 86.94 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

No 6.1% 32.86 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

No 5% 40 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 18% 11.11 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 1.7% 172.52 shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 93% 65.07 shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers 86% 62.5 shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 25% 42 shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Under 42% 47.62 shares
1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers 75.9% 12.35 shares
1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers 81% 12.35 shares