heyyy24

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.49K
Potential profit: $15.49K
User PnL: -$137.75

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.63K
Potential profit: $10.63K
User PnL: -$309.2

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.49K
Potential profit: $7.49K
User PnL: -$48.1

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.29K
Potential profit: $5.29K
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.07K
Potential profit: $5.07K
User PnL: -$20.02

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$398.47

No position

Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$329.3

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.62K
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 6?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40.97

Yes position

Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $903.65
Potential profit: $903.65
User PnL: -$16.51

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $786.1
Potential profit: $786.1
User PnL: -$87.54

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $779.99
Potential profit: $779.99
User PnL: -$15.8

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $631.08
Potential profit: $631.08
User PnL: -$11.84

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.97
Potential profit: $569.97
User PnL: -$27.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.63

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $911.06

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702.13

Yes position

Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $547.94

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.18

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.1

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $439.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.73

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.24

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.99

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $228.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET