No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Polymarket Trader
3214afds
@8_GG_nombre
0x62cb4c067c236144d84c050f2b30e0120895a07a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.72
- Realized PnL
- $126.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $35.97
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.74
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
PSG position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Biden pardon Hillary?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 65% 3.08 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 2.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 89.68 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.8% 35.97 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 71.42 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 155.09 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 98% 71.43 shares
- Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes 96% 208.33 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 216.13 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98.1% 22 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No 82% 26.31 shares