Polymarket Trader

Lk7600

0x62f6e32528e89b97dceab36b43b7821283696300

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.14K
Realized PnL: $526.63
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$3.24K

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $142.73
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $502.55

No position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $729.33
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$21.14

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.4%
Current value: $533.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $466
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$142

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $64.93
Potential payout: $747.23
Potential profit: $682.3
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: -$40.51

No position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$212

No position

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $275.05
Potential payout: $309.04
Potential profit: $33.99
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.72

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $237.09
Potential payout: $240.82
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $41.47

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $183.71
Potential payout: $201.22
Potential profit: $17.51
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $32.8

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $13.78
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.22

Yes position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $13.38

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$27.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$238.28

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.16K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 20% 13.78 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

No 75% 201.22 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

No 76.4% 125.83 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

No 81.2% 240.82 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 20.7% 474.18 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 1.9% 800.92 shares
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

No 75.8% 262 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 29% 500.32 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 85% 32.1 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 82% 44.44 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 36% 300.6 shares