Polymarket Trader

Mitakaasa7

@MitakaAsa68329

0x6312737af8c3f5a5a2b6ba23c5d65236c049f94e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.41K
Realized PnL: $11.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $50.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $321
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $101
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$18.09

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $311
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $41.91

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $364.96
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $34.09
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$103.53

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$48.65

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960.5
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $921.47
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$52.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $121.5
Potential payout: $900.01
Potential profit: $778.51
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$77

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $227.85
Potential payout: $799.75
Potential profit: $571.9
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $165.45

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $90.63
Potential payout: $725
Potential profit: $634.38
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $320.17
Potential payout: $634
Potential profit: $313.83
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $58.15

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $608.72
Potential profit: $594.41
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $90.78
Potential payout: $605.22
Potential profit: $514.44
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$12.43

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $571.5
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$66.5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $493.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $479.75
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$5.35

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $482
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $498.74
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $881.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.29

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.43

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.62

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.35

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.85

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $380.67

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.26

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $309.71

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.35

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.94

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $289

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.13

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.33

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $224.15

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

No 86% 50 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 130 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Over 68% 99.99 shares
Scotland leading at halftime?

No 85% 49.95 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 13% 60 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 6% 60 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 85.1% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 46% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 27.2% 7.56 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 10% 100 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 25% 50 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Over 16% 50 shares