Polymarket Trader

Guypod

0x632c2e7d0bb2db50132543feb32942f5a1f5890b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.02
Realized PnL: $194.43
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $848.33
Potential profit: $841.97
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.79
Potential profit: $623.79
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Trump say "Oil" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.74
Potential profit: $454.74
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Boeing" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.52
Potential profit: $444.52
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $410.04
Potential profit: $400.4
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $4.64

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $364.07
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.7
Potential profit: $237.7
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $7.29
Potential payout: $171.59
Potential profit: $164.3
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.01
Potential profit: $144.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $115.76
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Trump say "Border" at Defense and Innovation Summit?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.7
Potential profit: $107.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $53.14
Potential profit: $51.79
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Trump’s remarks not air?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.55
Potential profit: $36.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $24.04
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $11.93
Potential profit: $6.96
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: -$0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.48
Potential profit: $9.48
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Up 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Up 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Up 0.2% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Up 46% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 18% 27.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Up 78% 1.28 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.3% 34.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Down 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Down 97% 1.03 shares