Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x634941Ec1061adf456B35C1E76551a4CBb4346cB-1770194875221
0x634941ec1061adf456b35c1e76551a4cbb4346cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$6.63
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No 66% 7.58 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes 3.1% 32.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No 79.6% 2.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 33% 6.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp 50% 1.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 16% 14.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?Yes 26% 9.96 shares