Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $636.21
- Potential payout
- $778.24
- Potential profit
- $142.03
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Polymarket Trader
0x634f...f5d6
0x634f2a725336eda66d186ee86fc5c8b4ff77f5d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $778.68
- Realized PnL
- -$91.86
- Win rate
- 31.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $136.35
- Potential payout
- $237.13
- Potential profit
- $100.78
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$15.41
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $64.06
- Potential profit
- $57.94
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.86
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.11
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$6.78
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.33
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.91
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.04
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$16.61
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.52
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.26
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$152.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.3% 1,405.63 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.3% 622.91 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.2% 1,405.63 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 50% 840.57 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 69% 6.9 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 69% 9.96 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 190.82 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17% 501.18 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 34% 127.74 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No 98.3% 47.31 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No 81.8% 99 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 426.07 shares