No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $325
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $335.91
Polymarket Trader
PutsOnPeace
0x635d4ea180ca206cb2ae9c02bfbe93583b195025
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.21K
- Realized PnL
- $16.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $119
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$881
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $57
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$943
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $955
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$955
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $943
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $119
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $881
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $385.79
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$175.55
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $328.98
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$274.83
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.54
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $954.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $454.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $45.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $954.5
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$454.5
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $900.01
- Potential profit
- $819.01
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$75.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $540.73
- Potential payout
- $604.17
- Potential profit
- $63.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $96.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $591.31
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $58.3
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $32.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $567.3
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $554.99
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$193.8
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $599.84
- Potential profit
- $599.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.32
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $392.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$177.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $474.74
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $25.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $77.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.23
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.57
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $683.38
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.9
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.13
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.8
Yes position
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570.26
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $539.51
No position
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.68
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.84
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.01
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.14
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.59
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.83
No position
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.05
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.53
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $403
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No 98.4% 356.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 200 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 200 shares
- Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 99.06 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 99.06 shares
- Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 99.06 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 82.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.4% 600 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 27.6% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.2% 200 shares