No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $4.78K
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Polymarket Trader
DD1998
0x637ae6ef3b87165b565a796a1063c70be11e1d86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.34K
- Realized PnL
- $2.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $687.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $687.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $48.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $30.07
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $30.54
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $326.61
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$69.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.25
- Potential profit
- $291.25
- User PnL
- -$20.01
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.1
- Potential profit
- $48.1
- User PnL
- -$20
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.14
- Potential profit
- $34.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.61
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $280.83
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.8
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.28
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.66
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.11
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.37
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $73.33
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.09
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.29
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $45.55
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.59
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.28
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.76
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.2% 2,078.92 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 58% 34.48 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No 46% 19.99 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 3,816.64 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 42% 23.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 75% 1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.9% 291.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.7% 49.25 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 9% 25 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 7% 41.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22.1% 7,937.6 shares