Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $64.35
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$14.64
Polymarket Trader
canis333
0x637f14532d4103461f1b06d677a8bbcfdc37f1f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207.91
- Realized PnL
- $211.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $11.66
- Potential payout
- $416.35
- Potential profit
- $404.69
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400.04
- Potential profit
- $399.44
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $288.37
- Potential profit
- $287.65
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $256.03
- Potential profit
- $241.56
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $119.81
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.69
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $30.55
- Potential payout
- $117.51
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $91.94
- Potential profit
- $89.55
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$10.61
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.89
- Potential profit
- $88.89
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.37
- Potential profit
- $68.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $59.67
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $53.55
- Potential payout
- $64.91
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $64.44
- Potential profit
- $64.15
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $55.61
- Potential profit
- $50.41
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $51.45
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- $13.25
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No 78% 21.79 shares
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes 4.5% 445.08 shares
- Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes 0.7% 336.67 shares
- Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes 3.6% 277.94 shares
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes 4.3% 930.62 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No 33.7% 88.92 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 88% 1.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 2.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91% 7.24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 72% 1.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 2.94 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 83% 1.29 shares