Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $223.02
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $889.28
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $15.02
Polymarket Trader
BotPoli
0x637fe4b675c3f565f3d5d2ba2b1450b728e17925
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $820.24
- Realized PnL
- $54.46
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $263.68
- Potential payout
- $331.68
- Potential profit
- $67.99
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $64.68
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $111.85
- Potential payout
- $235.46
- Potential profit
- $123.62
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Current value
- $35.12
- Potential payout
- $123.69
- Potential profit
- $88.58
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.86
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $72.52
- Potential payout
- $85.32
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $62.59
- Potential payout
- $67.67
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $51.47
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.45
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$12.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 82% 133.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 262.92 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayNo 81% 893.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 133.9 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 79% 146.6 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No 45% 84.03 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?No 99.7% 68.17 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 85.32 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 85% 58.34 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 5.35 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 5.35 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 5.35 shares