No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $439.91
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $433.74
Polymarket Trader
Waterfall
@911Waterfall
0x63850ce907044eac77fba13d59f263ade68093f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.81K
- Realized PnL
- $25.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $317.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $309.69
No position
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $29.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $98.78
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $540.42
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $256.66
- Potential payout
- $540.9
- Potential profit
- $284.24
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $177.36
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.5 and 56 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $336.76
- Potential profit
- $326.66
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.20 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $98.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.8
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.24
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $14.48
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $949.35
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.53
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.2
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $872.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.43
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.77
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.46
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.66
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $693.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.5 and 56 million views on day 6?Yes 1.2% 336.76 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Yes 19.3% 190.9 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?No 97.5% 37.67 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?No 95% 6.81 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?Yes 47% 10 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?Yes 55% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?Yes 31.5% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?No 98% 372 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?Yes 0.9% 75.41 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 78% 1,869.77 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 73.5% 575.97 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?Yes 18% 40 shares