Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $325.23
- Potential payout
- $43.36K
- Potential profit
- $43.04K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $33.09
Polymarket Trader
0x638F0f90111c7Ccc7ddF0143df16b770aFE1Cda3-1756751925601
0x638f0f90111c7ccc7ddf0143df16b770afe1cda3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $431.03
- Realized PnL
- $31.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $33.28
- Potential payout
- $9.51K
- Potential profit
- $9.48K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $8.31K
- Potential profit
- $8.28K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Bolsonaro guilty?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$41.68
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $9.22
- Potential payout
- $595
- Potential profit
- $585.78
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $21.81
- Potential payout
- $189.65
- Potential profit
- $167.84
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $122.02
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.68
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $55.35
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $20.13
- Potential profit
- $10.77
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 2.1% 67.33 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.9% 399.98 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.8% 750 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.7% 85 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.6% 883.33 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.4% 42 shares
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 4,150 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1% 1,100 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.9% 932.56 shares