No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $40.63
- Potential payout
- $180.98
- Potential profit
- $140.35
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$117.42
Polymarket Trader
manre
0x639d469c419d3f48658aae348715bd530a97c2e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.63
- Realized PnL
- $25.96
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.45
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Los Ratones position
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.46x
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Eagles vs. PackersEagles 51% 20 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes 13% 10 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)Los Ratones 52% 6 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)Gen.G 65% 5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.1% 5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.3% 5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94% 11.05 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.5% 5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.5% 5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.5% 1.06 shares