Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- User PnL
- -$99
Polymarket Trader
politeste
0x63ac790ad723441fa33b0b1283d2ec6563124127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.34
- Realized PnL
- $227.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $26.36
- Potential payout
- $599.04
- Potential profit
- $572.68
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $16.57
No position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $100.02
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $17.31
- Potential payout
- $80.51
- Potential profit
- $63.2
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.34
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Messi" 20+ times during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $40.76
- Potential profit
- $40.13
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
N
No position
Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $7.6B?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $20.65
- Potential profit
- $16.21
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.28
- Potential profit
- $20.28
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$9.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Y
Yes position
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $8.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Messi" 20+ times during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?No 8% 20.76 shares
- Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?Yes 21% 20.65 shares
- Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 6.4% 75.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?No 1.1% 52.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?No 3% 52.54 shares
- Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 4% 125.81 shares
- Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 3.8% 42.88 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $7.6B?Yes 13% 10.36 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 8% 12.82 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No 28% 39.99 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?Yes 32% 20.54 shares