Polymarket Trader

mars-12

0x63b458729c147394272006ca15755a0a635cee12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.8
Realized PnL: $60.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $22.01
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $23.63
Potential profit: $21.48
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $20.89
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $18.97
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $18.64
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $17.26
Potential profit: $14.92
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $16.68
Potential profit: $14.09
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $12.55
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.78
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.53

Michael Zheng position

Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.05
Potential profit: $13.05
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $11.87
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.58
Potential profit: $8.58
User PnL: -$3

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.28
Potential profit: $8.28
User PnL: -$2.81

No position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.12

Over position

CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.9
Potential profit: $7.9
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$2.7

Paulo Dos Santos position

Istanbul: Paulo Dos Santos vs Denis Yevseyev

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $7.15
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $7.15
User PnL: -$2.86

No position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.31

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.53
Potential profit: $6.53
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.53
Potential profit: $6.53
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $6.13
User PnL: -$2.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $3.46

T1 position

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.99

Daniel Altmaier position

Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Minnesota Twins position

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Global Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.13

Kimberly Birrell position

Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11

Dplus KIA position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 16.9% 16.67 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

No 32% 6.67 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 42% 7.15 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5

Over 18% 15.79 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.6% 23.81 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Yes 5% 15.79 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 11% 16.67 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Yes 19% 15.79 shares
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?

Yes 10.7% 23.63 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 18% 15 shares
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 35% 8.11 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 54.9% 8.27 shares