Polymarket Trader

Skirk1123

0x63bf159cea68e4cdb63a66140a249d19cf8ee319

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.36K
Realized PnL: $71.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$432

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$465

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.97K
Potential profit: $14.97K
User PnL: -$448.96

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99K
Potential profit: $13.99K
User PnL: -$5.29K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79K
Potential profit: $13.79K
User PnL: -$1.67K

Jets position

Jets vs. Dolphins

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.54K
Potential profit: $13.54K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.76K
Potential profit: $12.76K
User PnL: -$205.6

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$455.48

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$699.19

No position

Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.82K
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $3.82K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$560

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.83K
User PnL: -$771.6

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$520

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.94K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $357.5

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$212.38

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$2.3K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$650

Yes position

Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$298

Canada position

Women's Final - USA vs. Canada

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $4.94K
User PnL: -$370.27

Zverev position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.8K
User PnL: -$720.3

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.6K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42K

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

No position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Dolphins position

Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Chargers position

Eagles vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Ohio State position

Texas vs. Ohio State

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Saints position

Saints vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3K

Eagles position

Giants vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 1,166 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 70% 72.89 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 3.7% 3,438.58 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 20,463.3 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 23.1% 1,701.03 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 47% 3,320.61 shares
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Yes 21.9% 663.72 shares
Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Cavaliers 31% 3,488 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 49.8% 665 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 3,000 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 31.7% 915.94 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 32.8% 7,635 shares