Polymarket Trader

ayylee

0x63bfe0260983600e77888da4277e75762cefcd36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.75
Realized PnL: -$6
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $893.43
Potential profit: $892.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $76.36
Potential profit: $59.33
Multiplier: 4.48x
User PnL: $16.03

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $40.56
Potential profit: $38.98
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $13.81
Potential profit: $12.01
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $8.67
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Yes 14.4% 6.94 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.3% 7.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?

Yes 0.1% 893.43 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 4.2% 23.77 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 10.3% 9.71 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 1.3% 76.36 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 6% 16.79 shares
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares