No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $925.65
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $120.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25.65
Polymarket Trader
KrdRL
0x63c126981a7560667e38e7581082568571da70d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.5K
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $406.94
- Potential payout
- $856.71
- Potential profit
- $449.77
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$55.09
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $397.88
- Potential payout
- $454.73
- Potential profit
- $56.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $336.7
- Potential payout
- $393.81
- Potential profit
- $57.1
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $36.7
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $287.05
- Potential payout
- $390.55
- Potential profit
- $103.49
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$12.95
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $326.47
- Potential payout
- $352.94
- Potential profit
- $26.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $26.47
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $350.73
- Potential payout
- $351.6
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- User PnL
- $50.73
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $313.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $13.25
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $313.84
- Potential payout
- $330.36
- Potential profit
- $16.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $63.84
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $311.12
- Potential payout
- $313.15
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $230.94
- Potential payout
- $239.81
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.94
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $196.25
- Potential payout
- $233.63
- Potential profit
- $37.38
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $69.39
- Potential payout
- $227.5
- Potential profit
- $158.11
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$30.61
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $123.3
- Potential payout
- $224.19
- Potential profit
- $100.88
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$76.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $218
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $203.33
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $18.89
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $216.37
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $204.36
- Potential payout
- $218.1
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $205.08
- Potential payout
- $207.25
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $203.27
- Potential payout
- $204.81
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $199.8
- Potential payout
- $204.3
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $145.58
- Potential payout
- $165.43
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.42
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $159.17
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $157.74
- Potential payout
- $158.69
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $7.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $531.41
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.76
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.76
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.97
No position
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.48
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.71
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.99
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
No position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 94.6% 105.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 1,033.06 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 263.16 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 39.8% 251.13 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52% 192.37 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 326.41 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No 76.8% 390.55 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 88% 454.73 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 0.1% 167.9 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 68% 176.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No 86.1% 348.25 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No 77.7% 257.3 shares