0x63cd...55a9

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.69
Potential profit: $175.69
User PnL: -$1.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.04
Potential profit: $154.04
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.1
Potential profit: $84.1
User PnL: -$3.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.63
Potential profit: $81.63
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $72.99
User PnL: -$2.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will "The Polygamist: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$1.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.58
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$2.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will the median home value in Chicago be between $342,000 and $345,000 on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the median home value in Chicago be less than $339,000 on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.73

No position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 3.99x
User PnL: -$3.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.29

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET