Polymarket Trader

0x63d2e2CfF50FE70d71307671a92F3C49abFA9E97-1772088256818

0x63d2e2cff50fe70d71307671a92f3c49abfa9e97

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.05
Realized PnL: $361.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Heat position

Heat vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$450

No position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $10.92
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07
Potential profit: $2.07
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.8%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kings position

Jazz vs. Kings

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Hornets position

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Rockets position

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?

No 36% 9.6 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.2% 1.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?

No 46.2% 190.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Down 71% 1.41 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 81% 1.23 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Yes 32% 399.99 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?

Yes 59% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 96% 1.04 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 95.8% 5.22 shares
76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 82% 1.21 shares
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar

Thunder Xi 98% 1.02 shares