No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34K
- Potential profit
- $34K
- User PnL
- -$219.95
Polymarket Trader
kohalacoastgabe
0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.85K
- Realized PnL
- $15.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $516.13
- Potential payout
- $12.29K
- Potential profit
- $11.77K
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$83.85
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $377.22
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.65K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$322.76
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $7.48K
- Potential payout
- $7.92K
- Potential profit
- $435.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.09K
- Potential profit
- $6.09K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $198.98
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $78.99
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- User PnL
- -$509.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $500.26
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.77K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$399.73
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$75.52
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $508.68
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $57.4
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$142.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$349.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$149.62
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $83.02
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$16.98
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $18.47
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$81.53
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $861.28
- Potential profit
- $861.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.67
- Potential profit
- $849.67
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $34.53
- Potential payout
- $822.24
- Potential profit
- $787.71
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$115.47
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.92
- Potential profit
- $560.92
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $835.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.47
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.11
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.56
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.96
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.35
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.49
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $422.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.67
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.55
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.96
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 2,083.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 1,250 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 620.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.8% 281.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.8% 1,823.31 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36.6% 273.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 72% 1,388.89 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 2,773.05 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 93% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70.7% 707.25 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 7.8% 1,277.29 shares