Polymarket Trader

0x63f3A52b768a538420d27608868f773D5acEa114-1773347718046

0x63f3a52b768a538420d27608868f773d5acea114

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.79
Realized PnL: $43.93
Win rate: 94.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $45K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5K
Potential profit: $38.5K
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $283.57
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.85
Potential profit: $105.85
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $54.24
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: $6.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.17
Potential profit: $52.17
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $36.3
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.32
Potential profit: $36.32
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.08
Potential profit: $28.08
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.18
Potential profit: $23.18
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.48
Potential profit: $17.48
User PnL: -$2.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 285.71 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 0.7% 428.57 shares
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

No 0.4% 686.48 shares
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

No 0.6% 1,540.06 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 7.6% 65.79 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.9% 1,095.09 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 99% 5.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 87% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 50% 1.97 shares