Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Sikter
0x63ff596ae1e4302acf65da2439eb90cacacd8f1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.7
- Realized PnL
- $65.78
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.4
- Potential profit
- $66.4
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.48
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.78
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
76ers position
Kings vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown 51% 3.78 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown 71% 1.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No 25% 20 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No 26% 17.85 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No 28% 17.86 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?No 70% 2.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 10% 9.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes 12% 8.33 shares